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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Lipetsk 38.9%
Draw 23.8%
Saturn Ramenskoye 37.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.4%
23.3%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
23.9%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Saturn Ramenskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Metallurg Lipetsk - Saturn Ramenskoye Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Ivashov M. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Grigorjev D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg Lipetsk won 2.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Saturn could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Saturn has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg Lipetsk has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:13 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg Lipetsk against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 1.8:1.6 per game).
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