Match Info

Date: 4 June 2021, Friday


	Kaluga		Strogino Moskva

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.08	3.1	3.05
	2.19	3.22	3.17
	2.11	3.4	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.07)	3.26 ↓ (3.39)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kaluga
43.2%

Draw
28%

Strogino Moskva
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

18.1%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Strogino Moskva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaluga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strogino Moskva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kaluga - Strogino Moskva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 and 7).

Kaluga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Strogino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kaluga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kaluga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kaluga won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kaluga won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
30.05.21	Salyut Belgorod - Kaluga	3:1 ✺
25.05.21	Kaluga - Krasnoye Znamya	3:2 ✺
21.05.21	Kaluga - Metallurg Vidnoe	4:0 ✺
15.05.21	Sakhalin - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
10.05.21	Kaluga - Khimki 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW
- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
30.05.21	Strogino Moskva - Avangard Kursk	3:2 ✺
25.05.21	Sokol Saratov - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
20.05.21	Strogino Moskva - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	2:2 ✺
15.05.21	Ryazan - Strogino Moskva	2:0 ✺
10.05.21	Strogino Moskva - Krasnyy Smolensk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
03.11.20	Strogino Moskva - Kaluga	3:1
Russian PFL Center
27.10.19	Kaluga - Strogino Moskva	2:0
01.08.19	Strogino Moskva - Kaluga	2:1
20.04.19	Kaluga - Strogino Moskva	2:0
09.09.18	Strogino Moskva - Kaluga	1:2
20.05.18	Strogino Moskva - Kaluga	0:0
14.10.17	Kaluga - Strogino Moskva	1:0

Upcoming Matches