The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kamatamare Sanuki 21%
Draw 27.1%
Tokushima Vortis 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.1%
20.1%
65.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.7%
19.5%
67.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kamatamare Sanuki's performance.
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tokushima Vortis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kamatamare Sanuki that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tokushima Vortis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kamatamare Sanuki - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Imamura Y. (G) 44. Hayashida K. 30. Oka H. 40. Takashima S. 17. Makiyama K. 15. Iwamoto K. 66. Woo S. 29. Tao K. 90. Goto Y. 86. Asada H. 77. Murakami Y.
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 4. Kaique 3. Yamada N. 44. Yamaguchi T. 8. Iwao K. 22. Yanagisawa K. 19. Miyazaki J. 7. Kodama S. 10. Sugimoto T. 11. Lucas Barcelos 9. Thonny Anderson
Substitutes
14. Ishikura J. 13. Maekawa T. 60. Morikawa Y. 22. Ono Y. 35. Sago S. 11. Sano R. 23. Takahashi C. (G) 4. Tsujioka S. 27. Yanagi Y.
69. Fukuta M. 31. Hasegawa T. (G) 27. Izuchukwu L. 14. Kajiya Y. 6. Kanuma N. 20. Matsuda K. 97. Moyo M. 55. Shigehiro T. 24. Takada S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
28', 0 - 1, Miyazaki J. ⚽, Sugimoto T. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Lucas Barcelos ⚽, Thonny Anderson (A),
36', Makiyama K. 🟨,
38', 0 - 3, Thonny Anderson (Penalty Awarded),
41', Woo S. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 4, Thonny Anderson ⚽, Sugimoto T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Makiyama K. ↓, Sano R. ↑,
46', Woo S. ↓, Ishikura J. ↑,
48', 0 - 5, Yanagisawa K. ⚽, Kodama S. (A),
54', Thonny Anderson ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
54', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
54', Iwao K. ↓, Kanuma N. ↑,
68', Takashima S. ↓, Sago S. ↑,
68', Goto Y. ↓, Morikawa Y. ↑,
71', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Moyo M. ↑,
71', Sugimoto T. ↓, Shigehiro T. ↑,
78', Murakami Y. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 1.
Kamatamare has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tokushima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Tokushima is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).
China
Japan
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Imamura Y. (G) 
Woo S. 
Kaique 
Izuchukwu L. 
