Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 8

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Kochi United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.42	4.36
	1.86	3.64	3.87	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.69	3.36	4.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.58)	3.39 ↓ (4.17)	4.22 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
51.1%

Draw
27.1%

Kochi United
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokushima Vortis's form might have worsened.

Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tokushima Vortis - Kochi United Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokushima Vortis will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 4. Kaique 3. Yamada N. 44. Yamaguchi T. 8. Iwao K. 22. Yanagisawa K. 10. Sugimoto T. 24. Takada S. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Lucas Barcelos 9. Thonny Anderson	17. Inose K. (G) 3. Fukumiya K. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 16. Kozuki S. 8. Takano Y. 14. Sekino G. 88. Hama T. 11. Miyoshi R. 20. Sugiyama R. 9. Shintani M.
Substitutes
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 27. Izuchukwu L. 14. Kajiya Y. 6. Kanuma N. 7. Kodama S. 20. Matsuda K. 19. Miyazaki J. 97. Moyo M. 15. Yamakoshi K.	18. Aoto K. 33. Cho H. 5. Fukagawa D. 13. Kawata A. 23. Matsumoto D. 76. Mikado Y. 99. Murata Y. (G) 73. Tanaka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Sekino G. 🟨,
36', Lucas Barcelos 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', Iwao K. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Thonny Anderson ⚽,
69', Takada S. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
69', Shintani M. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
69', Miyoshi R. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
74', Sugimoto T. ↓, Kodama S. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Thonny Anderson ⚽, Yanagisawa K. (A),
76', Sugiyama R. ↓, Mikado Y. ↑,
76', Sekino G. ↓, Matsumoto D. ↑,
88', Thonny Anderson ↓, Kanuma N. ↑,
90', Fukumiya K. ↓, Cho H. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Kanuma N. ⚽,
90+3', Yamada N. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Tokushima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kochi United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kochi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tokushima is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tokushima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Tokushima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 J3 League
22.03.26	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tokushima Vortis - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tokushima Vortis	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Ehime - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tokushima Vortis - Kataller Toyama	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL
- Kochi United
Japan J2 J3 League
22.03.26	Ehime - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kochi United - Imabari	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Albirex Niigata - Kochi United	2:3 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Kochi United - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Kochi United - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
09.06.21	Tokushima Vortis - Kochi United	2:1

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