Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Kanchanaburi Province Stadium (Kanchanaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Kanchanaburi		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.04	3.53	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.04	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.53)	3.29 ↓ (3.37)	3.14 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kanchanaburi
43.8%

Draw
27.5%

Muangthong United
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kanchanaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kanchanaburi's performance.

Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muangthong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kanchanaburi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muangthong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kanchanaburi - Muangthong United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Muangthong United (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pummarrin K. (G) 16. Stewart R. 2. Gurd A. 44. Bardanca 3. Notchaiya P. 21. Mara M. 88. Supunpasuch C. 19. Oyarzun A. 9. Rodrigues G. 30. Townsend A. (C) 47. Kamara A.	1. Gremsl A. (G) 6. Strauss J. 4. Tsonkov S. 28. Kim Dong-Su 8. Tasa K. 14. Panthong S. (C) 22. Nuntagowat T. 35. Chansri T. 24. Ahannach A. 34. Khamyok K. 9. Lorenzen M.
Substitutes
8. Ewerton 28. Fudsuparp P. 5. Klomjit W. 6. Kumar A. 4. Lucero J. 14. Nutnum S. 26. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 42. Ratniyorm S. 10. Samphaodi C. 98. Siripala T. 91. Tahrat M. 25. Tanthatemee P.	16. Chaikultewin W. . Danuphon B. 23. Phosri S. 33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 38. Sanphiphan K. (G) . Saric M. 39. Seangsawat K. 17. Thodsanid P. 21. Thodsanit P.
Coaches
Kaewpaluk W.	Ivankovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Kamara A. ⚽,
27', Kamara A. 🟨,
30', Kim Dong-Su 🟨,
35', Strauss J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lorenzen M. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
46', Nuntagowat T. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Townsend A. ⚽,
55', Ahannach A. 🟨,
56', Supunpasuch C. 🟨,
68', Rodrigues G. 🟨,
69', Panthong S. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
71', Rodrigues G. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
71', Supunpasuch C. ↓, Ratniyorm S. ↑,
79', Ahannach A. ↓, Seangsawat K. ↑,
82', Oyarzun A. ↓, Kumar A. ↑,
86', Kamara A. ↓, Samphaodi C. ↑,
86', Stewart R. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
87', Strauss J. ↓, Chaikultewin W. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Ratniyorm S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Muangthong United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kanchanaburi has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kanchanaburi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kanchanaburi FC
Thai FA Cup
14.01.26	Bangkok United - Kanchanaburi	3:1 ✺
Thai League 1
10.01.26	Bangkok United - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
27.12.25	Khonkaen United - Kanchanaburi	1:0 ET ✺
Thai League 1
24.12.25	Pathum United - Kanchanaburi	2:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Kanchanaburi - Police Tero	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLLW
- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
11.01.26	Muangthong United - Ayutthaya United	0:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
27.12.25	Bangkok FC - Muangthong United	0:4 ✺
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors	0:1 ✺
Thai League 1
14.12.25	Pathum United - Muangthong United	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Muangthong United - Chonburi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
31.08.25	Muangthong United - Kanchanaburi	2:0

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