Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 13

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: BG Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Pathum United		Kanchanaburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.25	5.3	Watch
	1.44	4.74	6.85
	1.43	4.45	6.16	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.6	4.51	4.51	Watch
	1.41	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.46)	4.36 ↑ (4.18)	5.64 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pathum United
62.7%

Draw
21%

Kanchanaburi
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

19.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Kanchanaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pathum United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Pathum United - Kanchanaburi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Pathum United (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pathum United will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pathum United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Anuin S. (G) 81. Choolthong W. 3. Ose T. 16. Sandokhadze N. 4. Tongkiri C. 8. Panya E. 55. Tamma C. 5. Kaman K. (C) 9. Sareepim S. 14. Doi T. 27. Jantawong P.	26. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 3. Notchaiya P. 42. Ratniyorm S. 91. Tahrat M. 16. Stewart R. 44. Bardanca 8. Ewerton 30. Townsend A. (C) 10. Samphaodi C. 21. Mara M. 9. Rodrigues G.
Substitutes
19. Chaiwarangkun P. 93. Dorkmaikaew P. (G) 22. James N. 29. Jamnongwat W. 95. Matheus Fornazari 77. Phonsan S. 50. Puethong T. 33. Sangvilay P. 18. Songkrasin C. 30. Tippanet I. 47. Wongsawang N. 6. Yooyen S.	20. Aguero S. 28. Fudsuparp P. 11. Kasemkulwirai K. 5. Klomjit W. 6. Kumar A. 18. Liorungrueangkit P. 4. Lucero J. 14. Nutnum S. 19. Oyarzun A. 1. Pummarrin K. (G) 98. Siripala T. 25. Tanthatemee P.
Coaches
Ishii M.	Kaewpaluk W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Kaman K. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Doi T. ⚽, Jantawong P. (A),
38', Tongkiri C. 🟨,
44', Mara M. 🟨,
45+1', Tahrat M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kaman K. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
46', Jantawong P. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
46', Notchaiya P. ↓, Liorungrueangkit P. ↑,
46', Ewerton ↓, Oyarzun A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Bardanca ⚽, Oyarzun A. (A),
69', Tahrat M. ↓, Fudsuparp P. ↑,
72', Doi T. ↓, Phonsan S. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Panya E. ⚽, Phonsan S. (A),
80', Tamma C. ↓, Jamnongwat W. ↑,
81', Samphaodi C. 🟨,
83', Phuthawchueak K. 🟨,
83', (Penalty Awarded),
90', Ratniyorm S. 🟨,
90+5', Tongkiri C. ↓, Puethong T. ↑,
90+6', Liorungrueangkit P. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kanchanaburi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pathum United is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
14.12.25	Pathum United - Muangthong United	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Pathum United - Tampines Rovers	0:2 ✺
Thai League 1
07.12.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United	0:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
03.12.25	Tampines Rovers - Pathum United	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.25	Pohang Steelers - Pathum United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- Kanchanaburi FC
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Kanchanaburi - Police Tero	1:0 penalties ✺
Thai League 1
12.12.25	Chonburi - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Buriram United - Kanchanaburi	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kanchanaburi - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLTT

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