Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 24

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Thalay Luang Stadium (Sukhothai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Sukhothai		Rayong FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.68	3.25	2.32	Watch
	2.8	3.55	2.46
	2.67	3.57	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.63	3.3	2.33	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.77)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.34 (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sukhothai
33.9%

Draw
27.2%

Rayong FC
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.5%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

26.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rayong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Sukhothai aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Sukhothai - Rayong FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 25. Otton C. 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 5. Romeu 95. Barreto 70. Mateusinho 35. Chatthong S. 10. Baggio J.	30. Ganthong W. (G) 5. Phusirit W. 35. Nontharath K. 20. Justiniano L. 11. Pongsuwan S. 15. Sontisawat S. 6. Joao Afonso 99. Weslen Junior 22. Ratree S. 41. Ito R. 18. Junior S. (C)
Substitutes
8. Aranpiroj R. 21. Denman A. 11. Gildo 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 20. Jandke N. 24. Jansuwan P. 39. Jantrapho A. 2. Logarwit S. 9. Paredes J. 19. Phatthaphon P. 3. Suksakit P. 7. Thiamrat L.	27. Amornlerdsak A. 14. Cebara S. 31. Harape P. 13. Hempandan T. 74. Ittiprasert P. 50. Junrung K. (G) 90. Kaminthong P. 10. Kunmee S. 19. Romphopak S. 7. Sarakum M. 24. Sattham J. 36. Srisupha W. (G)
Coaches
Ueathanaphaisarn R.	Punpee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Weslen Junior 🟨,
23', Joao Afonso 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Kanlayanabandit S. (Own goal),
42', Otton C. 🟨,
45+7', Weslen Junior 🟨,
45+7', Otton C. 🟥,
45+13', Chatthong S. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Romeu (Penalty Awarded),
60', Ratree S. ↓, Amornlerdsak A. ↑,
64', Mateusinho ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Paredes J. ⚽, Romeu (A),
75', Ito R. ↓, Sarakum M. ↑,
75', Phusirit W. ↓, Romphopak S. ↑,
83', Paredes J. 🟨,
84', Sontisawat S. ↓, Hempandan T. ↑,
90+1', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Jansuwan P. ↑,
90+1', Baggio J. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
90+6', Romeu 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Rayong FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rayong FC has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rayong FC	3	2	1	0	5:3	2	7
12	Sukhothai	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Sukhothai - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
01.03.26	Pathum United - Sukhothai	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Buriram United - Sukhothai	6:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sukhothai - Uthai Thani	1:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.01.26	Thap Luang United - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- Rayong FC
Thai League 1
25.02.26	Nakhon Ratchasima - Rayong FC	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Prachuap - Rayong FC	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Rayong FC - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ayutthaya United - Rayong FC	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Muangthong United - Rayong FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
01.11.25	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	2:0
08.03.25	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	2:1
26.10.24	Sukhothai - Rayong FC	3:1
Thai League 2
08.04.22	Sukhothai - Rayong FC	2:1
21.11.21	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	1:2
Thai League 1
13.03.21	Sukhothai - Rayong FC	5:1
28.11.20	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	2:1

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