Match Info

2. Liga - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Alpenstadion (Kapfenberg)

Referee: Sampl S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Kapfenberger SV		First Vienna

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.52
	2.84	3.4	2.49
	3.07	3.42	2.21	Watch
	2.59	3.48	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.22)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)	2.45 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapfenberger SV
34.2%

Draw
27.4%

First Vienna
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.4%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

First Vienna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and First Vienna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for First Vienna than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Kapfenberger SV - First Vienna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - First Vienna (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Kapfenberg (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapfenberg (votes: 1 - 50%). First Vienna (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strebinger R. (G) 8. Berg M. 23. Hassler L. 37. Hofer M. 34. Kavaz F. 17. Littig R. 71. Maier T. 28. Mikulic N. 5. Miskovic M. 20. Prohart F. (C) 19. Turi J.	1. Unger B. (G) 25. Bauer J. 39. Dantas L. 8. Luxbacher B. 22. Okungbowa O. 17. Rosenberger B. 16. Schmidt P. 14. Seo Jong-min 28. Stratznig K. 4. Szerencsi N. 66. Ungar D.
Substitutes
12. Colic V. (G) 9. Kadlec M. 2. Lagundzic I. 16. Marinovic A. 27. Omic A. 14. Pranjkovic M. 18. Rostas J.	9. Abdijanovic A. 77. Edelhofer L. 41. Giuliani C. (G) 36. Nnamdi K. 45. Susso B. 15. Zahirovic H. 18. Zimmermann B.
Coaches
Grgic M.	Kleer J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
39', Littig R. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Schmidt P. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Luxbacher B. ⚽, Unger B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Berg M. ↓, Rostas J. ↑,
46', Kavaz F. ↓, Kadlec M. ↑,
57', Mikulic N. 🟨,
60', Luxbacher B. 🟨,
62', Dantas L. ↓, Susso B. ↑,
62', Seo Jong-min ↓, Nnamdi K. ↑,
65', Hofer M. ↓, Lagundzic I. ↑,
65', Prohart F. ↓, Marinovic A. ↑,
70', Miskovic M. 🟨,
73', Ungar D. ↓, Edelhofer L. ↑,
73', Schmidt P. ↓, Zimmermann B. ↑,
85', Bauer J. 🟨,
88', Littig R. ↓, Pranjkovic M. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 3, Zimmermann B. ⚽, Edelhofer L. (A),
90+3', Rosenberger B. ↓, Zahirovic H. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 2.

Kapfenberg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

First Vienna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kapfenberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kapfenberg has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapfenberg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
21.09.25	Amstetten - Kapfenberger SV	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Stripfing - Kapfenberger SV	0:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	0:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
23.08.25	Sturm Graz B - Kapfenberger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LWWWW
- First Vienna FC
Austrian 2 Liga
19.09.25	First Vienna - Austria Klagenfurt	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Austria Wien II - First Vienna	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	First Vienna - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	Amstetten - First Vienna	2:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
22.08.25	First Vienna - Liefering	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
04.05.25	First Vienna - Kapfenberger SV	0:2
03.11.24	Kapfenberger SV - First Vienna	1:2
17.05.24	First Vienna - Kapfenberger SV	4:2
04.11.23	Kapfenberger SV - First Vienna	0:0
21.04.23	Kapfenberger SV - First Vienna	3:0
30.09.22	First Vienna - Kapfenberger SV	1:0
Austrian OFB Cup
18.07.21	First Vienna - Kapfenberger SV	3:5

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