Match Info

OFB Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Alpenstadion (Kapfenberg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kapfenberger SV		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.50	2.40
	2.40	3.40	2.45
	2.52	3.45	2.45
	2.53	3.60	2.46
	2.49	3.63	2.55	Watch
	2.50	3.45	2.30
	2.52	3.42	2.38	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.34)	3.5 ↑ (3.13)	2.43 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapfenberger SV
36.3%

Draw
26.1%

SPG Wels
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapfenberger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPG Wels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPG Wels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Steins J. (G) 23. Bagrationi M. 3. Coco L. 30. Heuser B. 11. Hrustan H. 16. Marinovic A. 5. Miskovic M. (C) 14. Pranjkovic M. 17. Weissenbacher P. 19. Zikovic N. 24. Zlibanovic R.	44. Schrocker K. (G) 12. Brugger M. 8. Camara K. 4. Feyrer S. (C) 40. Freund N. 28. Gobara P. 5. Keckeisen N. 22. Kregar O. 20. Malinowski S. 11. Mankan Y. 24. Wernitznig C.
Substitutes
8. Diack B. 31. Dubov N. R. 22. Gomez M. 41. Habel N. (G) 38. Ojukwu E. 18. Rostas J. 10. Sokcevic A. 35. Stauder F. 33. Thaqi E.	18. Ceri S. 10. Sahin T. 21. Schneitler F. 33. Schrenk M. (G) 7. Svec M. 14. Tischler L. 29. Zotz N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Sahin T. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kapfenberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Kapfenberger SV - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
28.08.26	Kapfenberger SV - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Austria Salzburg - Kapfenberger SV	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Kapfenberger SV - Wacker Innsbruck	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Bregenz - Kapfenberger SV	3:2 ✺
31.07.26	Kapfenberger SV - Liefering	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLLL
- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
28.08.26	SPG Wels - Admira	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Amstetten - SPG Wels	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	SPG Wels - Rapid Wien II	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Liefering - SPG Wels	2:3 ✺
02.08.26	SPG Wels - Austria Salzburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
13.03.26	SPG Wels - Kapfenberger SV	3:1
12.09.25	Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels	3:2

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