The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sturm Graz B 49.8%
Draw 23.7%
Kapfenberger SV 26.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.1%
23.6%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
20.4%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz B that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sturm Graz B - Kapfenberger SV Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sturm B will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Lorenz E. (G) 6. Haider G. (C) 5. Maierhofer B. 66. Morgenstern L. 19. Nnamdi K. 17. Locker J. 31. Pernot B. 11. Gurmann T. 12. Peinhart J. 33. Lazarre W. 9. Lang N.
12. Colic V. (G) 33. Thaqi E. 30. Heuser B. 38. Ojukwu E. 23. Bagrationi M. 7. Stoger M. 5. Miskovic M. (C) 80. Potnar B. 24. Zlibanovic R. 18. Rostas J. 71. Maier T.
Substitutes
2. Bakhty S. 21. Grgic M. 47. Osayantin R. 22. Petritsch J. 60. Ploner J. 15. Roche E. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)
3. Coco L. 41. Habel N. (G) 42. Krautler F. 16. Marinovic A. 14. Pranjkovic M. 10. Sokcevic A. 35. Stauder F.
Coaches
Wurm C.
Liendl M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
26', Potnar B. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Potnar B. ⚽, Stoger M. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Potnar B. ⚽, Bagrationi M. (A),
45+1', Pernot B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lazarre W. ↓, Grgic M. ↑,
53', Potnar B. 🟨,
56', Rostas J. ↓, Marinovic A. ↑,
56', Heuser B. ↓, Pranjkovic M. ↑,
56', Peinhart J. ↓, Petritsch J. ↑,
63', Lang N. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Gurmann T. ↓, Ploner J. ↑,
83', Zlibanovic R. ↓, Coco L. ↑,
83', Stoger M. ↓, Stauder F. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 0.
In recent outings, Sturm B has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kapfenberg has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sturm B holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Sturm B has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:15 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sturm B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).