Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 34

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Kara Gostar Shabestar		Shahrdari Noshahr

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.08	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.74)	2.08 ↓ (2.64)	3.6 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kara Gostar Shabestar
30.7%

Draw
43.9%

Shahrdari Noshahr
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

34.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

34.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kara Gostar Shabestar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Shahrdari Noshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shahrdari Noshahr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kara Gostar Shabestar than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Noshahr than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shahrdari Noshahr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 0, Thaqebi S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Kara Gostar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shahrdari Noshahr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Kara Gostar has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Kara Gostar	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kara Gostar Shabestar
Iran Division 1
11.07.26	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Kara Gostar Shabestar	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Kara Gostar Shabestar	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Kara Gostar Shabestar - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Damash Gilan - Kara Gostar Shabestar	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	Besat Kermanshah - Kara Gostar Shabestar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWTTL
- Shahrdari Noshahr
Iran Division 1
11.07.26	Shahrdari Noshahr - Niroye Zamini	1:1 ✺
02.07.26	SaiPa - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Sanat Naft - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Palayesh Naft - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTTL

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