Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 13

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Karbala		Duhok

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	2.85	2.9	2.5
	2.87	2.92	2.52	Watch
	2.83	2.86	2.46	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.75)	2.88 ↓ (2.93)	2.49 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karbala
32%

Draw
31.6%

Duhok
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

30.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

29.8%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karbala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karbala's performance.

Duhok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duhok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karbala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duhok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Karbala - Duhok Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Abdulla P. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Dean ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, Gwargis P. ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 7).

Recent matches Karbala is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Duhok is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duhok could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Duhok will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Karbala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Karbala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
02.01.25	Al-Karma - Karbala	0:0 ✺
10.12.24	Al-Zawraa - Karbala	3:1 ✺
06.12.24	Karbala - Al-Kahraba	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Karbala - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Karbala - Diyala	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTWT
- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
02.01.25	Duhok - Naft Al-Basra	1:0 ✺
29.12.24	Newroz - Duhok	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Duhok - Al-Qasim	2:0 ✺
16.12.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Duhok	0:0 ✺
12.12.24	Al-Hudood - Duhok	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
09.05.24	Karbala - Duhok	1:1
23.02.24	Duhok - Karbala	2:1
04.09.13	Duhok - Karbala	2:1

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