Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra		Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.15
	1.96	3.9	3.26	Watch
	2.02	3.8	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	3.82 ↑ (3.78)	3.12 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
46.7%

Draw
24%

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

23.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kasprzyk D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Marchel A. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Kasprzyk D. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karkonosze won 1.

Karkonosze is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Warta Gorzów has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karkonosze is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Karkonosze won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Karkonosze won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Carina Gubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Ślęza Wrocław	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Kluczbork - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	6:3 ✺
02.08.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL
- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.08.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Sparta Katowice	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.05.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:2
09.11.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1
14.05.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1
21.10.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1
27.04.22	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	5:3
18.09.21	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	4:1

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