Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra		Starowice Dolne

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.15	4.65
	1.54	4.15	4.8
	1.58	4.17	4.71	Watch
	1.59	4.26	4.57	Watch
	1.7	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	4.11 ↑ (4.1)	4.51 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
57.5%

Draw
22.2%

Starowice Dolne
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

18.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Starowice Dolne have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karkonosze Jelenia Góra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starowice Dolne than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Starowice Dolne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Kasprzyk D. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)

Recent performances by Karkonosze have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Starowice is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Starowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Karkonosze is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karkonosze won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Karkonosze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
03.10.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1 ✺
12.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	Stal Jasień - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTL
- LZS Starowice Dolne
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	Starowice Dolne - Skra Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Kluczbork - Starowice Dolne	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Stal Jasień - Starowice Dolne	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Starowice Dolne - Słowianin Wolibórz	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Starowice Dolne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.04.24	Starowice Dolne - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:1
30.09.23	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Starowice Dolne	2:0

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