Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Starowice Dolne		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	3.35	3.5	1.88
	3.32	3.48	1.93
	5.87	4.90	1.40	Watch
	3.51	3.87	1.86	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (2.91)	3.78 ↑ (3.43)	1.9 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starowice Dolne
25.9%

Draw
24.8%

Skra Częstochowa
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.5%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starowice Dolne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Starowice Dolne's form might have worsened.

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Skra Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starowice Dolne than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Skra Częstochowa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Starowice Dolne - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Sajdak P. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Metlushko I. ⚽,
30', 0 - 3, Nocon P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Starowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LZS Starowice Dolne
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.09.25	Kluczbork - Starowice Dolne	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Stal Jasień - Starowice Dolne	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Starowice Dolne - Słowianin Wolibórz	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Starowice Dolne	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Starowice Dolne - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLTW
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.09.25	Skra Częstochowa - Stal Jasień	6:2 ✺
19.09.25	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Skra Częstochowa - Pniówek Pawłowice	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	3:4 ✺
30.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWT

Starowice Dolne - Skra Częstochowa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide