Match Info

Druga NL - Round 30

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek (Karlovac)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 2


	Karlovac		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.4	9.8
	1.23	5.96	7.55
	1.24	5.8	8.94	Watch
	1.2	5.55	11.4	Watch
	1.23	5.4	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	5.62 ↑ (5.12)	9.5 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlovac
74.2%

Draw
16.2%

Kustošija
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

17.8%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

16.8%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Karlovac - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: ) and 7).

Karlovac has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kustošija has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Karlovac may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Karlovac is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karlovac won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlovac won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlovac
Croatian Druga NL
24.05.25	Radnik Križevci - Karlovac	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Karlovac - Marsonia	6:0 ✺
10.05.25	Solin - Karlovac	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Karlovac - Jadran Poreč	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Trnje Zagreb - Karlovac	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
23.05.25	Kustošija - Bjelovar	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Kustošija	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Kustošija - Uljanik Pula	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	4:1 ✺
25.04.25	Kustošija - Hrvace	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
29.11.24	Kustošija - Karlovac	0:0
Club Friendly
26.07.24	Karlovac - Kustošija	1:0
Croatian Druga NL
26.04.24	Kustošija - Karlovac	0:1
21.10.23	Karlovac - Kustošija	1:1

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