Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.85	3.75
	1.68	4.08	3.94	Watch
	1.71	4.04	4.04	Watch
	1.69	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 (1.7)	3.99 ↓ (4.1)	3.87 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
53.7%

Draw
22.8%

Star Starachowice
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

22.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

21.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Mich H. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Zawadzki D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Avia Świdnik is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLWW
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Star Starachowice	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Star Starachowice - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.03.25	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	1:3
01.09.24	Star Starachowice - Avia Świdnik	0:1
27.04.24	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	0:0
30.09.23	Star Starachowice - Avia Świdnik	1:2
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	4:1
22.07.23	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	2:0

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