Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	6.3
	1.36	5.28	6.02	Watch
	1.39	5	5.82	Watch
	1.33	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)	4.95 ↑ (4.75)	6.04 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
66.7%

Draw
18.3%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

18.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

17.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Remenyuk A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 1.

Avia Świdnik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avia Świdnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avia Świdnik is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	11	4	2	5	14:15	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.05.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Avia Świdnik	1:4 ✺
04.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTWT
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.05.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisłoka Dębica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:2
21.05.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	3:2
26.10.24	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:0
13.04.24	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2
15.09.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:1
27.04.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	0:1
18.09.21	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2

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