Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty (Uherske Hradiste)

Referee: Stary D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Slovácko		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.38	Watch
	7.3	4.65	1.37
	8.6	5.07	1.36
	7.14	4.08	1.46	Watch
	8.1	4.65	1.36	Watch
	7.7	4.85	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.72 ↓ (8.2)	4.68 ↓ (4.85)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovácko
12.1%

Draw
20%

Sparta Prague
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

19.1%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

18.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovácko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Slovácko - Sparta Prague Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sparta Prague (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sparta Prague will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Borek J. (G) 2. Ndefe G. 4. Stojcevski A. 3. Rundic M. 7. Koscelnik M. 28. Danicek V. 6. Svidersky M. 15. Blahut P. 10. Travnik M. (C) 14. Barat D. 55. Medved Z.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 16. Uchenna E. 27. Panak F. (C) 25. Sorensen A. 3. Kaderabek P. 26. Vydra P. 6. Kairinen K. 11. Rynes M. 14. Birmancevic V. 9. Rrahmani A. 7. Mercado J.
Substitutes
30. Frystak T. (G) 25. Hamza J. 20. Havlik M. 29. Heca M. (G) 24. Juroska P. 21. Krmencik M. 27. Kvasina M. 9. Marinelli A. 11. Petrzela M. 23. Reinberk P.	5. Eneme S. 10. Kuchta J. 36. Kuol G. 20. Mannsverk S. 4. Martinec J. 28. Milla K. 17. Preciado A. 18. Sadilek L. 2. Suchomel M. 44. Surovcik J. (G) 30. Zeleny J.
Coaches
Kamenik J.	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Danicek V. 🟨,
39', Rundic M. 🟨,
45+1', Rrahmani A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rrahmani A. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
59', Rundic M. ↓, Hamza J. ↑,
59', Barat D. ↓, Marinelli A. ↑,
65', Kaderabek P. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
65', Vydra P. ↓, Sadilek L. ↑,
69', Blahut P. 🟨,
73', Panak F. ↓, Zeleny J. ↑,
78', Rynes M. ↓, Milla K. ↑,
78', Travnik M. ↓, Havlik M. ↑,
78', Koscelnik M. ↓, Juroska P. ↑,
83', Blahut P. ↓, Petrzela M. ↑,
84', Marinelli A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 0.

In recent matches, Slovácko has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sparta Prague is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Slovácko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Slovácko has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sparta Prague is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Slovácko: Tetour D. (Injury) Vasko F. (Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Injury) Cobbaut E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovácko won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Slovácko
Czech 1 Liga
04.10.25	Mladá Boleslav - Slovácko	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Slovácko - Karviná	1:2 ✺
Czech Cup
23.09.25	Horní Ředice - Slovácko	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.25	Pardubice - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Bohemians 1905 - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWTL
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
05.10.25	Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Sparta Prague - Shamrock Rovers	4:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
27.09.25	Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague	0:3 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Slavia Karlovy Vary - Sparta Prague	0:5 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.25	Sparta Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
02.02.25	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	0:2
24.08.24	Sparta Prague - Slovácko	2:2
05.05.24	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	2:4
25.02.24	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	1:3
17.09.23	Sparta Prague - Slovácko	5:0
23.05.23	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	0:0
22.04.23	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	1:1

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