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Current Win Probability
Kasımpaşa 17.9%
Draw 22.2%
Beşiktaş 59.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.8%
24.6%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
25.8%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 2.
Kasımpaşa is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Beşiktaş has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Beşiktaş is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kasımpaşa has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:36 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kasımpaşa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:15 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Besiktas
9
6
0
3
18:10
8
18
6
Kasimpasa
9
4
4
1
13:9
4
16
Outrights of Turkish Super League for now
Besiktas: 14.58% Kasimpasa: 0.69%
Last Results with these Odds
Beşiktaş - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 53.57%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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