Match Info

Super Lig - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3


	Kasımpaşa		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.38	Watch
	2.25	3.32	3.56
	2.21	3.33	3.34	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.22	3.5	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.11)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
43.3%

Draw
28.6%

Kayserispor
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Kasımpaşa (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. (C) 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Arous A. 22. Corekci K. 8. Cafu 16. Baldursson A. F. 71. Kahveci I. C. 34. Diabate F. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 19. Benedyczak A.	25. Bayazit B. (G) 2. Katongo J. 6. Guler S. 4. Denswil S. 28. Civelek R. 18. Makarov D. 15. Ait Bennasser Y. 8. Benes L. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 63. Chalov F. 9. Onugkha G.
Substitutes
18. Allevinah J. 5. Aydin E. 29. Aydin T. 26. Demirbay K. 77. Gueye P. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 11. Kol A. 20. Opoku N. 23. Tosun C. 25. Yanar A. (G)	30. Brenet J. 17. Kapacak B. 20. Mane C. 11. Mather S. 10. Mendes J. 1. Piri O. (G) 61. Saglam G. 33. Soyalp F. 24. Tokoz D. 22. Tuci I.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Moe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Benedyczak A. ⚽, Diabate F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Katongo J. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
60', Chalov F. ↓, Soyalp F. ↑,
60', Benes L. ↓, Brenet J. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Gianniotis A. ⚽, Rodrigo Becao (A),
70', Makarov D. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
70', Civelek R. 🟨,
73', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
73', Ait Bennasser Y. 🟨,
77', Civelek R. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
80', Corekci K. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
85', Benedyczak A. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
90', Cafu 🟥,
90+1', Diabate F. ↓, Demirbay K. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kasımpaşa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Frimpong G. (Hamstring Injury) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury) Tasdemir E. (Injury)

There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Cihan K. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Health problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Kasimpasa: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
19.03.26	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	0:3 ✺
23.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTLT
- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
19.03.26	Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Samsunspor - Kayserispor	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Kayserispor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
02.11.25	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	3:2
13.04.25	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	1:0
08.11.24	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	1:2
03.04.24	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	0:2
11.11.23	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	3:4
19.04.23	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	0:0
23.10.22	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	0:1

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