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Current Win Probability
Gençlerbirliği 40.1%
Draw 28.4%
Kayserispor 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
28.1%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.4%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
50%
10%
Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Velho R. (G) 13. Pereira P. 6. Goutas D. (C) 4. Zuzek Z. 2. Thalisson Kelven 15. Dele-Bashiru T. 99. Canak C. 11. Gurpuz G. 70. Tongya F. 10. Mimaroglu M. 20. Traore A.
25. Bayazit B. (G) 30. Brenet J. 6. Guler S. 4. Denswil S. 28. Civelek R. 8. Benes L. 15. Ait Bennasser Y. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 18. Makarov D. 20. Mane C. 63. Chalov F.
Substitutes
42. Diabate O. 77. Dursun A. 18. Erenturk E. (G) 23. Hanousek M. 61. Kemaloglu E. 22. Koita S. 8. Onur S. 7. Onyekuru H. 88. Uzum F. 53. Varesanovic D.
17. Kapacak B. 2. Katongo J. 77. Korkmaz N. 11. Mather S. 10. Mendes J. 9. Onugkha G. 1. Piri O. (G) 61. Saglam G. 99. Sariarslan T. 33. Soyalp F.
Coaches
Sahin L.
Moe E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Mane C. 🟨,
42', Tongya F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gurpuz G. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
46', Mane C. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
58', Tongya F. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
73', Chalov F. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
73', Makarov D. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
83', Canak C. ↓, Uzum F. ↑,
90', Traore A. ↓, Varesanovic D. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 2.
In recent matches, Gençlerbirliği has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kayserispor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Kayserispor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gençlerbirliği will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Koita S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kyabou M.
(Knee Injury)
Onyekuru H.
(Inactive)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
Unal E.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A.
(Suspended)
Celtik Y.
(Knee Injury)
Tokoz D.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Goutas D.
(Injury)
Gurpuz G.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kayserispor: Carole L.
(Injury)
Hosseini M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Genclerbirligi
7
2
2
3
7:15
-8
8
Last Results with these Odds
Kayserispor - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.97%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.