Match Info

First League - Round 13

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Location: Shakhter Stadion (Karaganda)


	Shakhter Karagandy		Kaspiy Aktau

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.75	2.12
				Watch
	2.72	3.7	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.63)	3.73 ↓ (3.85)	2.15 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
33.5%

Draw
24.3%

Kaspiy Aktau
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

23.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Shatskiy I. (G) 11. Galkin M. 66. Israilov A. 10. Kalybayev D. 7. Nusip A. 8. Ospanov R. 44. Rudoselskiy T. 17. Saidov E. 15. Savkiv B. 36. Shymyrkhan S. 4. Zubaydilda S.	20. Pasechenko A. (G) 10. Baytana B. 7. Kabylan B. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 47. Konlimkos B. 23. Kozhamberdy Z. 22. Kurbanov T. 14. Serikbay A. 13. Serikbay M. 5. Taipov K. 71. Turlybek M.
Substitutes
2. Alimkhan R. 18. Altynkhan A. 27. Dilmurat M. 21. Dilmurat M. 25. Kholod M. 20. Komikov M. 13. Migunov A. 12. Mukhametzhanov U. 16. Nurgaliev N. (G) 23. Nurmugamet R.	70. Abdulla N. 9. Armenov A. 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 90. Islam N. 18. Kulakhmetov S. 11. Nurgaliyev E. 6. Shakhmetov M. 17. Shamshi S. 48. Zhumabay E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Kurbanov T. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Kozhamberdy Z. ⚽,
26', Nusip A. 🟨,
32', Kadyrbaev E. 🟨,
40', Zubaydilda S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Israilov A. ↓, Mukhametzhanov U. ↑,
49', Ospanov R. 🟨,
51', Serikbay A. 🟥,
59', Saidov E. 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Kabylan B. ⚽,
69', Kabylan B. ↓, Shamshi S. ↑,
69', Turlybek M. ↓, Armenov A. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Nusip A. ⚽,
73', Nusip A. ↓, Komikov M. ↑,
73', Zubaydilda S. ↓, Altynkhan A. ↑,
80', Kozhamberdy Z. ↓, Abdulla N. ↑,
84', Komikov M. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Baytana B. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Altynkhan A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhter Karagandy won 2.

Shakhter Karagandy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shakhter Karagandy won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shakhter Karagandy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
04.07.25	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	4:0 ✺
20.06.25	Zhetisay - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Shakhter Karagandy - AKAS	4:2 ✺
29.05.25	Altai Semey - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
03.11.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Aktobe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL
- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh First League
26.06.25	Aktobe 2 - Kaspiy Aktau	0:3 ✺
20.06.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Batyr Ekibastuz	5:3 ✺
13.06.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Kaspiy Aktau	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Zhetisay - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
23.03.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Ertis Pavlodar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
23.07.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
27.05.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1
15.09.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1
27.04.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	4:0
16.10.21	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
19.05.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	3:0
27.11.20	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	0:4

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