Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Kastrioti		Luftëtari Gjirokastër

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.1	3.65
	1.99	3.13	3.54
	1.99	3.18	3.56	Watch
	2.02	3.1	3.66
	1.88	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.1 (3.1)	3.63 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastrioti
46.1%

Draw
29.1%

Luftëtari Gjirokastër
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Luftëtari Gjirokastër has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luftëtari Gjirokastër than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Kastrioti - Luftëtari Gjirokastër Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation) and 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation))

Kastrioti is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Luftëtari's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Luftëtari has had a series of home games.

Kastrioti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
03.11.25	Kukësi - Kastrioti	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Kastrioti - Iliria	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Kastrioti - Devolli	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLTW
- Luftëtari Gjirokastër
Albanian First Division
03.11.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Besa Kavajë	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Laçi	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Kukësi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Oriku	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Super League
10.04.19	Kastrioti - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:0
27.01.19	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kastrioti	1:5
28.10.18	Kastrioti - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:2

Kastrioti - Luftëtari Gjirokastër: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide