Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Kastrioti		Skënderbeu Korçë

	1	X	2
	5.35	4.05	1.48
	4.14	4.50	1.57	Watch
	4.93	3.63	1.66
	5	3.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (5.98)	3.95 ↑ (3.8)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastrioti
18.7%

Draw
23%

Skënderbeu Korçë
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23.9%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

23.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Skënderbeu Korçë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (+3%)

Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', (Pen),
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 3 - 1, ⚽,
64', 🟥,
66', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 2.

Kastrioti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Skënderbeu is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Skënderbeu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Skënderbeu is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
25.10.25	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Kastrioti - Iliria	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Kastrioti - Devolli	3:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Apolonia Fier - Kastrioti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLL
- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
24.10.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Besa Kavajë	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kukësi	3:0 ✺
26.09.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Laçi	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Pogradeci - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Super League
04.05.22	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	2:0
03.03.22	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:0
18.12.21	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	2:1
16.10.21	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:0
14.04.19	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	4:0
26.08.18	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:3
12.03.14	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	3:1

Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide