Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Lushnja		Kastrioti

	1	X	2
	4.55	4.15	1.52
	6.73	4.5	1.37
	6.33	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.87 ↑ (2.04)	4.38 ↑ (3.6)	1.41 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lushnja
15.4%

Draw
20.6%

Kastrioti
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lushnja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lushnja's form might have worsened.

Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kastrioti's recent form is better than expected.

Lushnja - Kastrioti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Nuradin I. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Peqini J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Farruku E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 3, Xhixho S. ⚽,
81', 1 - 4, Murati I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lushnja won 2.

Lushnja has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lushnja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lushnja won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lushnja won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kastrioti	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Lushnja
Albanian First Division
19.04.26	Lushnja - Iliria	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lushnja - Korabi Peshkopi	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Kukësi - Lushnja	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTL
- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
11.04.26	Kastrioti - Laçi	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Kastrioti - Kukësi	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Kastrioti - Burreli	5:2 ✺
28.02.26	Korabi Peshkopi - Kastrioti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
20.12.25	Kastrioti - Lushnja	2:1
04.10.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	3:2
15.02.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	1:0
11.09.24	Kastrioti - Lushnja	2:1
04.05.24	Lushnja - Kastrioti	0:0
11.02.24	Kastrioti - Lushnja	1:1
29.10.23	Lushnja - Kastrioti	3:1

Lushnja - Kastrioti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide