Match Info

ALBANIA: Kategoria e Parë - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Kastrioti		Vora

	1	X	2
	8	3.95	1.38
	8.25	4	1.39
	8	3.95	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.08 ↑ (3.27)	3.97 ↑ (3.1)	1.38 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastrioti
11.3%

Draw
22.9%

Vora
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kastrioti's form might have worsened.

Vora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kastrioti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vora than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Skenderi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kastrioti won 1.

Kastrioti has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vora is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vora will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kastrioti won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.7:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kastrioti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
09.03.25	Flamurtari Vlorë - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Burreli - Kastrioti	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Kastrioti - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- FK Vora
Albanian First Division
09.03.25	Vora - Apolonia Fier	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Vora	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Vora - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Valbona - Vora	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Vora - Erzeni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
11.01.25	Vora - Kastrioti	3:2
06.10.24	Kastrioti - Vora	0:2
16.03.24	Vora - Kastrioti	1:3
03.02.24	Vora - Kastrioti	4:2
22.10.23	Kastrioti - Vora	2:3
Albanian Cup
26.09.22	Kastrioti - Vora	1:0

Kastrioti - Vora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide