Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Tonusluoglu D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Kasımpaşa		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4
	1.88	3.44	4.12
	1.93	3.42	4.43
	1.94	3.45	4.09	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4
	1.9	3.76	4.27	Watch
	1.84	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.97)	3.5 ↓ (3.96)	4.13 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
50.2%

Draw
26.9%

Bodrumspor
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

23.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

23.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodrumspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Kasımpaşa - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Claudio Winck 20. Opoku N. 58. Ozcan Y. 77. Rodrigues K. 6. Gul G. 7. Fall M. 72. Barak A. 35. Kara A. (C) 10. Hajradinovic H. 18. Da Costa N.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 33. Celustka O. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 21. Aslan A. 26. Mohammed M. 16. Fredy 99. Seferi T. 7. Dimitrov Z. 9. Puscas G.
Substitutes
23. Alkas S. 29. Aydin T. 8. Cafu 11. Cetinkaya E. 5. Ciftpinar S. 14. Espinoza J. 4. Omeruo K. 26. Sadiku L. 15. Suakar Y. 25. Yanar A. (G)	53. Akkan G. (G) 5. Antalyali T. 20. Brazao P. 4. Degismez E. 48. Dumanli C. 23. Ergun U. 91. Ogruce E. 19. Osman H. 10. Ozer K. 8. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Ugurlu S.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Seferi T. 🟨,
45+3', Seferi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gul G. ↓, Cafu ↑,
46', Sen C. ↓, Ergun U. ↑,
63', Fredy ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
63', Puscas G. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
73', Kara A. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
76', Celustka O. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
86', Yalcin S. 🟨,
89', Ozcan Y. ↓, Cetinkaya E. ↑,
90+2', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
90+6', Ergun U. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bodrumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kasımpaşa is a favorite.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Saddiki D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Herelle C. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Akpinar T. (Shin Injury) Ozdamar S. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
28.09.24	Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa	3:3 ✺
22.09.24	Kasımpaşa - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Kasımpaşa - Adana Demirspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTLWT
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
29.09.24	Bodrumspor - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
20.09.24	Hatayspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Bodrumspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Göztepe - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Bodrumspor - Konyaspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLW

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