Match Info

Super Lig - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Kayserispor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.07	3.44	3.44
	2.47	3.51	2.71	Watch
	2.05	3.7	3.68	Watch
	2.28	3.4	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.47)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	3.23 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
43.7%

Draw
26.9%

Kasımpaşa
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

27.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kayserispor's performance.

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasımpaşa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kayserispor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kasımpaşa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8%	12%

Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 20 - 80%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 64.3% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Kasımpaşa (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kayserispor will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piri O. (G) 28. Civelek R. 5. Hosseini M. (C) 4. Denswil S. 23. Carole L. 24. Tokoz D. 20. Mane C. 10. Mendes J. 33. Soyalp F. 30. Opoku A. 9. Onugkha G.	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 20. Opoku N. 41. Szalai At. (C) 21. Frimpong G. 8. Cafu 6. Ustundag C. 16. Baldursson A. F. 7. Fall M. 77. Gueye P. 9. Barasi Y.
Substitutes
15. Ait Bennasser Y. 25. Bayazit B. (G) 3. Burak A. 21. Celtik Y. 38. Cihan K. 27. Donmezer D. (G) 17. Kapacak B. 77. Korkmaz N. 16. Ozbek E. 22. Tuci I.	61. Albayrak E. (G) 4. Arous A. 29. Aydin T. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 14. Espinoza J. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 11. Kol A. 5. Mujde A. 33. Tasdemir E. 25. Yanar A. (G)
Coaches
Djalovic R.	Arveladze S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Soyalp F. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Winck C. ⚽, Szalai At. (A),
27', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, Denswil S. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Tokoz D. ↓, Ait Bennasser Y. ↑,
62', Opoku A. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
62', Barasi Y. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
62', Fall M. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Kanatsizkus K. ⚽,
77', Soyalp F. 🟨,
77', Soyalp F. ↓, Ozbek E. ↑,
77', Mane C. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
80', Hosseini M. 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Tuci I. ⚽, Civelek R. (A),
84', Civelek R. ↓, Burak A. ↑,
87', Ustundag C. ↓, Ben Ouanes M. ↑,
88', Baldursson A. F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
90', Ozbek E. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Inactive) Benes L. (Red Card) Cardoso M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cetinkaya E. (Inactive) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Injury) Hosseini M. (Health problems) Jung G. (Injury) Karimi A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Kayserispor - Niğde Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
24.10.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Kayserispor - Samsunspor	1:3 ✺
03.10.25	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLT
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Kahta 02 Spor - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
13.04.25	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	1:0
08.11.24	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	1:2
03.04.24	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	0:2
11.11.23	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	3:4
19.04.23	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	0:0
23.10.22	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	0:1
23.01.22	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	3:1

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