Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		Banga Gargždai 2

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	9.5
	1.29	4.82	8.15
	1.25	5.36	9.1
	1.31	4.7	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.57)	4.91 ↑ (4.04)	8.69 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
71%

Draw
18.5%

Banga Gargždai 2
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

22.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

17.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Žalgiris 2's performance.

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banga Gargždai 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (-26.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kauno Žalgiris 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banga Gargždai 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Banga Gargždai 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Miksiunas J. (G) 28. Hylton J. 25. Kirliauskas E. 80. Kloniunas E. 11. Martin D. 46. Milius T. 83. Nainys P. (C) 41. Rybelis A. 48. Stelmokas T. 77. Traore M. 30. Vosylius N.	12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 77. Balasanov A. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 21. Pliuskys K. 81. Praleika S. 87. Simkus N. 25. Skruibys M. 20. Toleikis K. (C)
Substitutes
54. Averka J. 49. Jakubauskas M. 33. Kavalciukas E. 17. Kayode O. 40. Marusauskas P. 34. Razanauskas M. (G) 32. Vaiteikaitis U. 37. Zukovskis J.	35. Bertasius M. 44. Galbuogis G. 80. Juska B. 45. Laugalys R. 97. Luza A. 61. Rusteika E. 54. Urbonas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Nainys P. 🟨,
39', Kirliauskas E. 🟨,
40', Andrejev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Stelmokas T. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
71', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Kauno Žalgiris 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Banga 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Kauno Žalgiris 2 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
29.04.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:3 ✺
15.04.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Riteriai	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLLL
- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
29.04.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Riteriai - Banga Gargždai 2	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Tauras Tauragė - Banga Gargždai 2	3:0 ✺
01.04.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.10.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1
23.06.21	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	1:2

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