Match Info

I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Žalgirio stadionas (Vilnius)


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.3
				Watch
	3.18	3.55	2.09
				Watch
	3.2	3.55	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.5)	3.47 ↓ (3.75)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
30.7%

Draw
26.3%

Nevėžis
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

23.8%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris 2's form might have worsened.

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris 2 (votes: 2 - 50%). Nevėžis (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Kauno Žalgiris 2 (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Kauno Žalgiris 2 (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris 2 (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nevėžis (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Miksiunas J. (G) 28. Burdzilauskas E. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 49. Jakubauskas M. 61. Jankauskas J. 46. Milius T. 83. Nainys P. (C) 79. Paulauskas V. 48. Stelmokas T. 67. Tunc M. 30. Vosylius N.	34. Granauskas R. (G) 5. Avizovas U. 13. Berednikovas L. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 91. Petkevicius M. 99. Rukuiza K. 20. Traore M. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.
Substitutes
95. Bovhyra D. 58. Brazys V. 45. Lipcius A. 57. Matekonis R. 53. Slivinskas A. 1. Ukelis M. (G) 56. Valiulis B. 65. Vizinis J.	7. Ferraz V. 25. Gaizutis D. 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 11. Mohil Y. 1. Urbonas E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Nainys P. 🟨,
15', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Burdzilauskas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 0, Tunc M. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Traore M. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 9).

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nevėžis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.25	Tauras Tauragė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	1:3 ✺
12.06.25	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Transinvest - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.25	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Ekranas - Nevėžis	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
30.05.25	Nevėžis - Jonava	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
23.08.24	Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2	6:0
29.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	1:2
22.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	3:1
03.06.23	Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1
21.08.20	Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1

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