The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kauno Žalgiris 2 30.7%
Draw 26.3%
Nevėžis 43%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36%
24%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
23.8%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris 2's form might have worsened.
Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris 2 (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nevėžis (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Miksiunas J. (G) 28. Burdzilauskas E. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 49. Jakubauskas M. 61. Jankauskas J. 46. Milius T. 83. Nainys P. (C) 79. Paulauskas V. 48. Stelmokas T. 67. Tunc M. 30. Vosylius N.
34. Granauskas R. (G) 5. Avizovas U. 13. Berednikovas L. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 91. Petkevicius M. 99. Rukuiza K. 20. Traore M. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.
Substitutes
95. Bovhyra D. 58. Brazys V. 45. Lipcius A. 57. Matekonis R. 53. Slivinskas A. 1. Ukelis M. (G) 56. Valiulis B. 65. Vizinis J.
7. Ferraz V. 25. Gaizutis D. 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 11. Mohil Y. 1. Urbonas E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Nainys P. 🟨,
15', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Burdzilauskas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 0, Tunc M. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Traore M. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 9).
Kauno Žalgiris 2 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nevėžis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Watch
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Miksiunas J. (G) 
Traore M. 
Tymoshenko I. 
Ferraz V. 
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