Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 30

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kauno Žalgiris		Džiugas Telšiai

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.10	6.00
	1.4	3.95	6.3
	1.43	4.33	7.14
	1.44	4.31	7.09	Watch
	1.39	4.15	7
	1.39	4.15	7.09	Watch
	1.41	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)	4.14 ↑ (3.93)	6.69 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
64.4%

Draw
22%

Džiugas Telšiai
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 62. Kastrati L. II. 77. Lekiatas R. 23. Hernandez A. 33. Konatar M. 8. Karashima Y. 10. Sirgedas G. 15. Leo Ribeiro 20. Kalik A. 9. Krekovic L. 27. Debeljuh G.	1. Paukste M. (G) 10. Piliukaitis V. 44. Asomugha B. 23. Cisse I. 46. Wawszczyk J. 6. Pavlovskij N. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 7. Pedro Bahia 8. Bunchukov D. 27. Vinckus D. 90. Sobowale R.
Substitutes
32. Baldassarra F. 24. Burba M. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 11. Cernych F. 17. Fiolic I. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 45. Moutachy J. 19. Renan Oliveira 14. Slivka V. 3. Tolordava A.	97. Balasanov A. 40. Grauslys O. 88. Meinorius M. 70. Ouattara A. 5. Rutkovskis M. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 22. Rybcynskij M. (G) 9. Scotto I. E. 14. Zevzikovas D.
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Lipskis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Pedro Bahia 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Sirgedas G. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Kalik A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Burba M. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Burba M. ⚽,
52', 🟨,
56', 4 - 0, Debeljuh G. ⚽,
56', Pedro Bahia ↓, Zevzikovas D. ↑,
57', Bunchukov D. ↓, Scotto I. E. ↑,
57', Kalik A. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
57', Debeljuh G. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
63', Scotto I. E. 🟨,
66', Hernandez A. ↓, Tolordava A. ↑,
74', Ankudinovas L. 🟨,
77', 5 - 0, Renan Oliveira ⚽,
80', Vinckus D. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Džiugas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:15. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kauno Zalgiris	28	14	9	5	56:20	36	51
6	Dziugas Telsiai	28	10	8	10	36:40	-4	38

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 61.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian Cup
03.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Beşiktaş - Kauno Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Transinvest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWLT
- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
31.08.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Džiugas Telšiai	3:4 ✺
03.08.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0
05.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:2
07.03.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2
21.09.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1
17.08.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2
09.05.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1
08.03.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	1:2

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