Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 27

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri)

Referee: Doman T. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Kayserispor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.18	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.22	3.2	3.4
	2.28	3.27	3.52
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.25	3.47	3.41	Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.38)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)	3.31 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
42.9%

Draw
28.6%

Ankaragücü
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

26.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ankaragücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankaragücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Kayserispor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 11. Sazdagi G. 92. Jeanvier J. 54. Kocaman A. 23. Carole L. 10. Bourabia M. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. 28. Civelek R. 70. Boa Morte A. 9. Nazon D. 7. Cardoso M.	99. Gungordu B. (G) 4. Cankaya A. R. 26. Radakovic U. 45. Cetin M. 18. Mujakic N. 30. Cigerci T. 8. Pedrinho 13. Bassogog C. 10. Bekiroglu E. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 22. Sowe A.
Substitutes
89. Ackah Y. 3. Attamah J. 13. Bahoken S. 33. Kaldirim H. A. 4. Kolovetsios D. 20. Mane C. 16. Ozbek E. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T. 29. Shukurov O.	9. Bajic R. 77. Bilazer H. 29. Cephas R. 19. Flips A. 23. Guneren A. K. 35. Karatas K. 80. Morutan O. 25. Ozbir E. (G) 17. Saponara R. 27. Unyay A.
Coaches
Vukas H.	Belozoglu E.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kayserispor won 1.

Recent matches Kayserispor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ankaragücü is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kayserispor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Kayserispor won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Kayserispor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
19.02.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kayserispor	2:3 ✺
12.02.24	Kayserispor - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Kayserispor - Antalyaspor	1:1 ✺
25.01.24	Samsunspor - Kayserispor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTTL
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
18.02.24	Ankaragücü - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
11.02.24	Konyaspor - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.24	Ankaragücü - 24 Erzincanspor	5:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.24	Ankaragücü - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Fenerbahçe - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
07.10.23	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	3:0
03.06.23	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	0:1
08.01.23	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	2:1
13.02.21	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	0:0
02.10.20	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	0:1
25.01.20	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	1:1
24.08.19	Ankaragücü - Kayserispor	1:1

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