Match Info

1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Keçiörengücü		Şanlıurfaspor

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.72	4.49	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.72	3.78	4.26
	1.75	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	4.27 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
52.9%

Draw
25.5%

Şanlıurfaspor
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Şanlıurfaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	4.5%	0%

Keçiörengücü - Şanlıurfaspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Keçiörengücü will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keçiörengücü will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Ucar M. (G) 19. Yildiz U. 44. Caulker S. 15. Sengul A. 11. Dere A. 95. Traore A. 6. Develi E. 10. Dembele P. M. 8. Rroca E. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.	35. Tokotaev E. (G) 2. Camoglu B. 3. Celebi A. 22. Muscat Z. 19. Yardimci N. 26. Acar H. (C) 9. Kappel L. 82. Begic A. 12. Bentley 7. Kinali S. 32. Ogundu U.
Substitutes
20. Ayaroglu H. 16. Ayaydin O. 12. Bitin G. 5. Caliskan O. 14. Camara M. 4. Kula M. 73. Lus S. 36. Nahirci O. 18. Satilmis E. (G) 88. Silva M.	. Awuku P. 88. Bostanci A. 23. Ercelik H. 5. Eren F. 21. Gazanfer S. 96. Giritlioglu C. 13. Kalyoncu E. (G) 25. Sambou B. 20. Sunger A. (G) 10. Wriedt K. 11. Yuksel M.
Coaches
Sozeri E.	Arslan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Traore A. 🟨,
43', Acar H. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Rroca E. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Ezeh F. ⚽, Rroca E. (A),
51', 3 - 0, Diouf M. ⚽, Yildiz U. (A),
57', Kinali S. ↓, Wriedt K. ↑,
57', Celebi A. ↓, Eren F. ↑,
61', 4 - 0, Rroca E. ⚽,
65', 4 - 1, Ogundu U. ⚽, Camoglu B. (A),
66', Acar H. ↓, Ercelik H. ↑,
67', Traore A. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
67', Ezeh F. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
74', Camara M. 🟨,
79', Yardimci N. ↓, Giritlioglu C. ↑,
79', Begic A. ↓, Awuku P. ↑,
90', Diouf M. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
90', Rroca E. ↓, Ayaydin O. ↑,
90+5', Dembele P. M. 🟨,
90+5', Dembele P. M. ↓, Ayaroglu H. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Şanlıurfaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Keçiörengücü is a favorite.

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K. (Suspended)

There will not play in Şanlıurfaspor: Selamet B. (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Keçiörengücü won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 1.7:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Keçiörengücü won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
05.04.25	Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Çorum - Keçiörengücü	3:2 ✺
10.03.25	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	1:3 ✺
05.03.25	Keçiörengücü - Erokspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLT
- Şanlıurfaspor
Turkish First League
04.04.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Boluspor	3:2 ✺
28.03.25	Gençlerbirliği - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Igdirspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Adanaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.12.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2
10.02.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1
16.09.23	Keçiörengücü - Şanlıurfaspor	2:0

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