Match Info

1. Lig - Round 18

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Manisa FK		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.63	3.5	2.34
	3.01	3.69	2.24
	2.91	3.76	2.18	Watch
	2.63	3.5	2.4
	2.65	3.53	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.9)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	2.33 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
34.4%

Draw
25.8%

Keçiörengücü
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.9%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 45. Karapo A. 4. Herelle C. 27. Gureler Y. 2. Talum Y. 60. Toure B. (C) 10. Lindseth J. 20. Benrahou Y. 11. Adekanye B. 9. Diony L. 41. Suleyman B.	88. Ozer A. (G) 6. Develi E. 23. Mexer 5. Caliskan O. 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. (C) 7. Roshi O. 78. Fernandes J. 19. Osman H. 55. Diouf M.
Substitutes
22. Bodur S. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 25. Cissokho M. 24. Dursun Y. 19. Erdem U. 13. Ibik A. 17. Kahraman O. 23. Kiprit M. 65. Sen A. 29. Yurtdas O.	9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 4. Celik A. 27. Kucuksolak E. 73. Lus S. 77. Ozler T. 32. Poyraz E. 18. Satilmis E. (G) 15. Wellington Nascimento
Coaches
Dalci M.	Kosukavak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Osman H. ⚽, Caliskan O. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Fernandes J. (Penalty Awarded),
20', Herelle C. 🟨,
21', 1 - 2, Benrahou Y. ⚽,
22', 2 - 2, Adekanye B. ⚽, Talum Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Adekanye B. ↓, Erdem U. ↑,
74', Karaogul I. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
75', Karapo A. 🟨,
76', Suleyman B. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
81', Osman H. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
87', Roshi O. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
89', Dere A. 🟨,
90+2', Benrahou Y. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
90+4', Develi E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Manisa: Gocmen B. (Suspended) Inal F. (Suspended) Karabatak S. (Suspended) Yurdakul K. (Suspended)

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Akan M. (Inactive) Duman A. (Suspended) Ezeh F. (Yellow Cards) Keskin B. (Suspended) Mexer (International duty) Tasbakir R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Bulut H. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
13.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Manisa FK - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Pendikspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Manisa FK - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
08.11.25	Sivasspor - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
14.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Kayserispor	2:0 ET ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
05.04.25	Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü	1:2
23.11.24	Keçiörengücü - Manisa FK	4:0
21.01.24	Keçiörengücü - Manisa FK	1:1
20.08.23	Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü	0:0
29.04.23	Keçiörengücü - Manisa FK	0:3
04.12.22	Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü	0:0
08.05.22	Keçiörengücü - Manisa FK	2:1

Upcoming Matches