Match Info

1. Lig - Round 28

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Keçiörengücü		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.15	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.8	3.47	2.23	Watch
	2.89	3.73	2.3
	2.82	3.77	2.23	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.25
	2.79	3.52	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.74)	3.53 ↓ (3.84)	2.22 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
32.7%

Draw
26%

Amed SK
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

24.2%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

23.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Keçiörengücü - Amed SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Amed will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 50%). Amed (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Keçiörengücü (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Amed (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Satilmis E. (G) 17. Bilgic H. 5. Caliskan O. 4. Celik A. 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. (C) 7. Roshi O. 10. Bulut H. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.	31. Kardesler E. (C) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 34. Syrota O. 23. Matur O. 6. Ustundag C. 5. Kurt S. 27. Moreno D. 91. Saba D. 22. Dimitrov Z. 45. Diagne M.
Substitutes
67. Acet M. 9. Akman A. 70. Diaby O. 79. Duman A. 73. Lus S. 23. Mexer 88. Ozer A. (G) 32. Poyraz E. 15. Wellington Nascimento 28. Yilmaz E.	33. Afena-Gyan F. 97. Arslan A. 14. Bassan E. 1. Damlu A. (G) 47. Demirtas K. 77. Hanalp C. 20. Hasani F. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 4. Mujde A. 15. Serbest T.
Coaches
Kosukavak Y.	Bakkal M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Diouf M. ⚽, Bulut H. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Diagne M. ⚽, Dimitrov Z. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽, Ustundag C. (A),
42', Matur O. ↓, Kaldirim H. A. ↑,
42', Ustundag C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ustundag C. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
56', Ezeh F. 🟨,
68', Bilgic H. ↓, Yilmaz E. ↑,
74', Caliskan O. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Roshi O. ⚽,
80', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
81', Moreno D. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
86', Saba D. ↓, Hasani F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.

Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amed is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Ayan H. (Yellow Cards) Keskin B. (Suspended)

There will not play in Amed: Cekdar O. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Rroca E. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keciorengucu	8	3	4	1	17:10	7	13

Last Results with these Odds

Keçiörengücü - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.86%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Amed SK - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
23.02.26	Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
18.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:3 ✺
08.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Gaziantep	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL
- Amed SK
Turkish First League
23.02.26	Amed SK - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Amed SK - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Pendikspor - Amed SK	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Amed SK - Adana Demirspor	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
04.10.25	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	4:1
29.03.25	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	1:2
09.11.24	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	0:0
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.19	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	1:0
08.09.18	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	2:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.04.18	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	0:0
03.12.17	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	2:1

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