Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 8

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)

Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Keflavík		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	4.05	3.7	Watch
	1.76	4.38	4.04
	1.71	4.41	4.03	Watch
	1.7	3.9	3.75
	1.7	4.3	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	4.21 ↓ (4.41)	3.9 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
53.9%

Draw
22.2%

Thor Akureyri
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

21.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

21%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Keflavík - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: Keflavík will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 4. Heras N. (C) 20. Brigic M. 22. Magnusson A. 8. Baxter B. 5. Aronsson D. 23. Ragnarsson E. 11. Al Ghoul M. 21. Conteh A. 10. Ljubicic S.	1. Stefansson A. (C) 15. Kristjansson K. 2. Arnarsson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 21. Baldvinsson E. 22. Hlynsson A. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 8. Halldorsson E. 7. Sigurjonsson A. 37. Gunnarsson S. 25. Jakobsen C.
Substitutes
9. Al Ghoul H. 30. Basic M. (G) 18. Bjarnason E. 25. Elvarsson F. 47. Karlsson E. 13. Kralj A. 14. Mudrazija M. 28. Traustason V. A. 7. Valsson D.	31. Fridriksson K. 17. Gislason F. 9. Haugland S. 18. Ingason S. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H.
Coaches
Gudmundsson H.	Hoskuldsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Brigic M. ⚽, Baxter B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Hlynsson A. ↓, Gislason F. ↑,
59', Gunnarsson S. ↓, Haugland S. ↑,
59', Baldvinsson E. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,
61', Ottosson V. 🟨,
65', Aronsson D. 🟨,
74', Aronsson D. ↓, Valsson D. ↑,
82', Jakobsen C. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
84', Ljubicic S. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
84', Brynjolfsson B. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
88', Baxter B. ↓, Al Ghoul H. ↑,
89', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
90+3', Magnusson A. 🟨,
90+4', Halldorsson E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 2.

Recent performances by Keflavík have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Thor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Keflavík is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.05.26	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Akraness - Keflavík	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Keflavík - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	KA Akureyri - Keflavík	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Keflavík - Breiðablik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TWLWT
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	6:0 ✺
02.05.26	Thor Akureyri - KA Akureyri	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Breiðablik - Thor Akureyri	4:0 ✺
23.04.26	Thor Akureyri - Fram	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2
18.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	2:4
31.07.24	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	3:2
25.05.24	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	1:1
Icelandic League Cup
12.02.23	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	4:1
Icelandic Division 1
07.09.20	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	1:3
12.07.20	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:1

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