Match Info

League Two - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Stranraer FC LIVE
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stranraer		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.8
	2.00	3.30	3.00
	2.12	3.4	2.95
	2.19	3.65	2.97
	2.16	3.45	3	Watch
	2.11	3.6	2.9
	2.25	3.55	2.93
	2.13	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	2.94 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
42.7%

Draw
26.3%

Kelty Hearts
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Stranraer - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 4. McLuckie M. 21. Gillie L. 3. Ecrepont F. 17. McManus D. 8. Quigg A. 14. Bruce Z. 12. Traynor A. 24. Mason S. 16. Dobbie L. (C)	1. Smith J. (G) 5. Flatman C. 15. Davidson A. 35. Brydon J. (C) 16. Falconer T. 14. Hislop J. 8. McManus C. 6. Ferguson A. 26. Cunningham R. 11. Cole R. 29. Shanley R.
Substitutes
77. Clelland D. 7. Dolan J. 9. Foster R. 11. Healy A. 13. Henderson E. (G) 15. Hughes R. 18. Lynch E. 5. Nair K. 6. Stuart J.	21. Adamson R. (G) 22. Flatman Z. 3. Hannah C. 9. Higginbotham K. 7. Moffett F. 28. Snoddy J. 25. Walker G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Dobbie L. ⚽, Bruce Z. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Dobbie L. ⚽, Bruce Z. (A),
39', Shanley R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Flatman C. ↓, Walker G. ↑,
59', Falconer T. ↓, Hannah C. ↑,
59', Cunningham R. ↓, Moffett F. ↑,
62', Bruce Z. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
65', Walker G. 🟨,
66', Cole R. ↓, Higginbotham K. ↑,
67', McManus C. 🟨,
71', Hislop J. 🟨,
71', McManus D. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
71', Traynor A. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
74', Shanley R. ↓, McCormick T. ↑,
76', Moffett F. 🟨,
82', Dobbie L. ↓, Foster R. ↑,
82', Mason S. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Kelty Hearts has had a series of home games.

Stranraer might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stranraer: 16.43% Kelty Hearts: 10.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stranraer	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17
5	Kelty Hearts	9	4	0	5	13:18	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Kelty Hearts - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.24%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Stranraer - Gala Fairydean	3:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
22.08.26	Stirling Albion - Stranraer	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Stranraer - Spartans	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Alloa Athletic - Stranraer	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Stranraer - Annan Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWLL
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Kelty Hearts - Clydebank	2:4 ✺
Scottish League Two
22.08.26	Kelty Hearts - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Kelty Hearts - Motherwell 2	4:3 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Kelty Hearts - Stirling Albion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
06.09.25	Kelty Hearts - Stranraer	3:0
Scottish League Cup
25.07.23	Kelty Hearts - Stranraer	2:0
Scottish League Two
16.04.22	Stranraer - Kelty Hearts	0:3
29.01.22	Kelty Hearts - Stranraer	3:2
18.12.21	Stranraer - Kelty Hearts	0:4
25.09.21	Kelty Hearts - Stranraer	1:0
Scottish Cup
09.01.21	Kelty Hearts - Stranraer	2:3

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