The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kelty Hearts 46.5%
Draw 26.3%
Stirling Albion 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
27.7%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
26.8%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kelty Hearts's performance.
Stirling Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stirling Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kelty Hearts that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Kelty Hearts - Stirling Albion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 25. Walker G. 22. Flatman Z. 35. Brydon J. (C) 3. Hannah C. 7. Moffett F. 8. McManus C. 6. Ferguson A. 23. Moore L. 9. Higginbotham K. 29. Shanley R.
1. McNeil A. (G) 16. Denham S. 6. Banner K. 30. Crane C. (C) 17. Fyfe L. 22. Hutchinson B. 5. McNab R. 25. Dobbie D. 11. Wright H. 29. Allan J. 26. Cameron Z.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 11. Cole R. 38. Falconer T. 24. Fellows C. 10. Murray I. 28. Snoddy J.
24. Ali G. 31. Duffy R. (G) 7. Hepburn B. 15. Laird A. 9. McLean R. 20. Raine R. 10. Russell M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Moore L. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Shanley R. ⚽,
36', McManus C. 🟨,
37', Allan J. 🟨,
37', Shanley R. 🟨,
38', Walker G. 🟨,
39', Cameron Z. 🟨,
44', Hutchinson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cameron Z. ↓, McLean R. ↑,
58', Higginbotham K. 🟨,
61', McNab R. ↓, Hepburn B. ↑,
61', Wright H. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
64', Fyfe L. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Allan J. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Brydon J. 🟨,
67', Moffett F. ↓, Falconer T. ↑,
71', Higginbotham K. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, McLean R. ⚽, Fyfe L. (A),
83', Flatman Z. ↓, Murray I. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Cole R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Kelty Hearts might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kelty Hearts won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Kelty Hearts: 10.33% Stirling: 4.86%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Kelty Hearts
9
4
0
5
13:18
-5
12
10
Stirling
9
2
2
5
11:22
-11
8
Last Results with these Odds
Kelty Hearts - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Stirling Albion - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Smith J. (G) 
Walker G. 
Moffett F. 
Higginbotham K. 
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