Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Moi International Sports Centre (Nairobi)

Referee: Omar A. M. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Croatia	SportKlub
Gambia	GRTS Gambia
Kenya	Gotv, KBC Channel 1
Serbia	Sportklub
Slovenia	Sportklub
South-africa	SuperSport Football
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Kenya		Gambia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3	3.4	Watch
	2.18	2.98	3.45
	2.27	3.02	3.56
	2.22	2.99	3.53	Watch
				Watch
	2.3	3	3.55	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.37)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	3.41 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya
41.6%

Draw
30.9%

Gambia
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Gambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	38.5%	7.7%

Kenya - Gambia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kenya will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Gambia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kenya: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kenya (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gambia (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Omondi B. (G) Tusker 16. Onyango R. Sogndal 19. Sichenje C. Vojvodina 2. Owino S. Mahia 3. Omar A. Police FC 12. Odada R. Dundee Utd 8. Abuya D. Young Africans 10. Ouma T. Lech Poznan 11. Wilson W. VPS 22. Osoro E. Talanta FC 14. Olunga M. (C) Al Arabi (Qatar)	18. Gaye B. (G) Shkendija Tetovo 21. Sanneh M. Abdish-Ata Kant 4. Saine A. Horsens 12. Sinyan S. CFR Cluj 5. Colley O. (C) Al Diriyah 2. Bajo M. Crvena zvezda 8. Adams E. Derby 3. Sanyang S. CSKA Sofia 20. Minteh Y. Brighton 10. Barrow M. Al Taawon 9. Sidibeh A. St Johnstone
Substitutes
18. Bwire B. (G) Polokwane City 13. Esambe Bandi L. Leopards 1. Faruk S. (G) Bandari 4. Kibwage M. Tusker 7. Muchiri B. Ulinzi Stars 21. Nabwire M. Police FC 9. Ochieng J. 15. Ogam R. Wolfsberger AC 20. Okwaro M. 5. Omija A. Mahia 17. Omondi B. S. Mahia 6. Onyango A. Mahia	19. Barry A. Austria Vienna 13. Bojang A. Reims 15. Ceesay J. Empoli 23. Drammeh M. Universitatea Cluj 7. Fadera A. Sassuolo 1. Jarju E. (G) Paide Linnameeskond 16. Kinteh A. S. Tromso 14. Manneh A. Mjallby 6. Njie M. KFUM Oslo 11. Sanyang A. Hajduk Split 22. Sibi S. (G) Virtus Verona 17. Sowe A. Rizespor
Coaches
McCarthy B.	McKinstry J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Sinyan S. ⚽, Minteh Y. (A),
17', Omar A. 🟨,
17', Adams E. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Minteh Y. ⚽, Barrow M. (A),
29', Abuya D. 🟨,
38', 0 - 3, Barrow M. ⚽, Sidibeh A. (A),
45+4', Sichenje C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanneh M. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
46', Odada R. ↓, Onyango A. ↑,
46', Ouma T. ↓, Okwaro M. ↑,
54', Owino S. 🟨,
63', Bajo M. ↓, Barry A. ↑,
63', Sidibeh A. ↓, Bojang A. ↑,
65', Osoro E. ↓, Ogam R. ↑,
73', Onyango R. ↓, Ochieng J. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Ogam R. ⚽, Owino S. (A),
84', Adams E. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
84', Minteh Y. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
88', Ceesay J. 🟨,
90+6', Barry A. 🟨,

Preview

Kenya is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gambia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kenya might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kenya won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya
African Nations Championship
22.08.25	Kenya - Madagascar	1:2 penalties ✺
17.08.25	Zambia - Kenya	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Kenya - Morocco	1:0 ✺
07.08.25	Angola - Kenya	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Kenya - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWTW
- Gambia
Friendly
09.06.25	Uganda - Gambia	1:1 ✺
06.06.25	Equatorial Guinea - Gambia	1:2 ✺
African Nations Championship
09.05.25	Algeria - Gambia	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Ivory Coast - Gambia	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Gambia - Kenya	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Gambia - Kenya	3:3

Kenya - Gambia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide