Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria) 🌤️ ...


	Kenya		Lesotho

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	5.5	Watch
	1.73	3.50	4.80
	1.75	3.2	4.7	Watch
	1.79	3.34	5.48
	1.76	3.2	5.31	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.79	3.53	5.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	5.2 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya
53.5%

Draw
28.5%

Lesotho
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lesotho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Kenya - Lesotho Predictions

Users Predictions: Kenya will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Bwire B. (G) Polokwane City 7. Bajaber M. Simba 15. Madada K. Leopards 20. Obiero M. Wealdstone 6. Odada R. (C) FC UTA Arad 10. Odhiambo A. Mahia 5. Omija A. Etoile Sahel 16. Onyango R. Sogndal 21. Wilson O. S. AIK 11. Wilson W. VPS 14. Woodman D.	16. Moerane S. (G) Orbit College 10. Fothoane L. Township Rollers 2. Kharajane K. 5. Mafatle T. Bantu 20. Makhele T. (C) Siwelele 19. Makhetha M. Lijabatho 12. Makuru T. Lioli FC 6. Mapola T. 11. Mokhachane N. Jwaneng Galaxy 9. Motebang S. Royal AM 4. Toloane T. Defence Force
Substitutes
3. Agina S. Stoke City 12. Erambo C. Tusker 23. Kramer C. (G) Den Haag 17. Nondi A. Partizani 22. Obiero Z. Leyton Orient 2. Odhiambo F. Mahia 19. Oduor C. Bradford City 24. Omondi B. S. Mahia 13. Otieno E. Rakow Czestochowa 9. Ouma L. SJK Akatemia	23. Khechane T. (G) 7. Letsema T. Sekhukhune 17. Lintsa L. LU FC 3. Mabokoane M. Manonyane 22. Makha T. Karela 13. Matlabe F. 1. Mofoka L. 21. Mokokoane R. Defence Force 14. Monyane S. 15. Ntobane J. 8. Rapuleng K. Majantja 99. Teele M. Lijabatho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bajaber M. ⚽, Obiero M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mapola T. ↓, Matlabe F. ↑,
46', Motebang S. ↓, Lintsa L. ↑,
46', Madada K. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
46', Wilson O. S. ↓, Otieno E. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Bajaber M. ⚽, Odhiambo A. (A),
53', Moerane S. 🟥,
58', Fothoane L. ↓, Mofoka L. ↑,
58', Makuru T. ↓, Letsema T. ↑,
68', Onyango R. ↓, Agina S. ↑,
68', Obiero M. ↓, Ouma L. ↑,
68', Odhiambo A. ↓, Nondi A. ↑,
68', Bwire B. ↓, Kramer C. ↑,
68', Wilson W. ↓, Henia-Kamau S. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Ouma L. ⚽, Agina S. (A),
87', Mafatle T. ↓, Rapuleng K. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Ouma L. ⚽, Agina S. (A),

Preview

Kenya is ranked FIFA: 111. Lesotho is ranked FIFA: 145.

Kenya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kenya is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kenya won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya
Friendly
04.06.26	Lesotho - Kenya	1:1 ✺
03.06.26	Kyrgyzstan - Kenya	Canceled ✺
FIFA Series
30.03.26	Grenada - Kenya	0:3 ✺
27.03.26	Kenya - Estonia	1:2 penalties ✺
Friendly
14.11.25	Kenya - Equatorial Guinea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 T?WLL
- Lesotho
Friendly
04.06.26	Lesotho - Kenya	1:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
29.03.26	Lesotho - Seychelles	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Seychelles - Lesotho	0:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
04.06.26	Lesotho - Kenya	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
03.08.14	Kenya - Lesotho	0:0
20.07.14	Lesotho - Kenya	1:0

Kenya - Lesotho