Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 13

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Kepez Belediyesi		24 Erzincanspor

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.7	1.78
	4.16	3.66	1.8
	3.01	3.32	2.20	Watch
	4.12	3.91	1.72
	4	3.6	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.66)	3.64 ↑ (3.1)	1.84 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kepez Belediyesi
24.2%

Draw
25.5%

24 Erzincanspor
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

29.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kepez Belediyesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kepez Belediyesi's form might have worsened.

24 Erzincanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 24 Erzincanspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kepez Belediyesi than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kepez Belediyesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 24 Erzincanspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kepez Belediyesi - 24 Erzincanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Colak B. ⚽, Polat S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 1 - 1, Artarslan B. ⚽, Frei K. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Dereli A. ⚽, Frei K. (A),
63', 1 - 3, Karakullukcu O. ⚽, Dereli A. (A),

Preview

Kepez is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, 24 Erzincanspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kepez won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kepez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kepez Belediyesi
Turkish Second League White Group
08.11.25	Iskenderunspor - Kepez Belediyesi	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Erbaaspor	1:6 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Sivasspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
25.10.25	İnegölspor - Kepez Belediyesi	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Bucaspor 1928	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League White Group
08.11.25	24 Erzincanspor - Bucaspor 1928	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Beykoz Anadolu - 24 Erzincanspor	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	24 Erzincanspor - Ankaraspor	2:4 ✺
19.10.25	Muğlaspor - 24 Erzincanspor	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
09.03.25	24 Erzincanspor - Kepez Belediyesi	1:1
26.10.24	Kepez Belediyesi - 24 Erzincanspor	1:1

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