Match Info

Turkish Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Kepez Belediyesi		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.67
	4.85	3.85	1.6
	19.67	9.77	1.08	Watch
	5.2	3.74	1.63	Watch
	6.25	4.75	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.99 ↑ (4.47)	5.17 ↑ (3.67)	1.46 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kepez Belediyesi
12.5%

Draw
19.3%

Sivasspor
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

24.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kepez Belediyesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kepez Belediyesi's form might have worsened.

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sivasspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kepez Belediyesi than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kepez Belediyesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sivasspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Kepez Belediyesi - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kepez will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kepez (votes: 2 - 40%). Sivasspor (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Kepez (2.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kepez (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sivasspor (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Kimpioka B. (Pen),
10', 0 - 1, Kimpioka B. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Badji A. ⚽, Kimpioka B. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Polat S. ⚽, Ozcan N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 3, Ay S. (Own goal),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sivasspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sivasspor is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kepez Belediyesi
Turkish Second League White Group
25.10.25	İnegölspor - Kepez Belediyesi	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Bucaspor 1928	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Beykoz Anadolu - Kepez Belediyesi	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Ankaraspor	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Muğlaspor - Kepez Belediyesi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLL
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
24.10.25	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sivasspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTTTW

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