Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 27

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Kettering Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	2.95
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.76	3.65	4.1
	1.77	3.82	4.12	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4
	1.68	3.62	4.37
	2.14	3.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)	3.51 ↓ (3.75)	3.78 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
49.6%

Draw
26.1%

Alvechurch
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Kettering Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kettering (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Miles F. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, Miles F. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kettering won 3.

Recent performances by Kettering have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alvechurch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kettering could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kettering won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kettering won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Alvechurch: 2.63% Kettering: 2.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	17:4	13	20
5	Kettering	9	5	3	1	16:6	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.26	Kettering Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Kettering Town - Stratford Town	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Stourbridge - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	St Ives Town - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Needham Market - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTWW
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.26	Banbury United - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Alvechurch - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Alvechurch - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Alvechurch - Real Bedford	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Alvechurch - Redditch United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
11.10.25	Alvechurch - Kettering Town	2:0
18.03.25	Alvechurch - Kettering Town	0:1
04.03.25	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	2:1
23.03.24	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	2:0
25.11.23	Alvechurch - Kettering Town	1:1
06.04.19	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	1:2
29.09.18	Alvechurch - Kettering Town	1:3

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