Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 8

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Kettering Town		Lowestoft Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.8	3.4
	1.78	3.8	3.65
	1.87	4.09	3.39
	1.86	4.13	3.52
	1.8	3.72	3.67
	1.78	3.8	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)	3.89 ↓ (4)	3.55 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
50.6%

Draw
23.6%

Lowestoft Town
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

22.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kettering Town's performance.

Lowestoft Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lowestoft Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kettering Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lowestoft Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kettering Town - Lowestoft Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17).

Kettering is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lowestoft is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kettering could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kettering will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kettering won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Kettering Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.24	St Ives Town - Kettering Town	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Royston Town - Kettering Town	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Kettering Town - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTW
- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Lowestoft Town - Royston Town	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Lowestoft Town - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Sudbury Town - Lowestoft Town	6:1 ✺
24.08.24	Lowestoft Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Barwell - Lowestoft Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
02.03.19	Lowestoft Town - Kettering Town	0:1
08.12.18	Kettering Town - Lowestoft Town	3:0

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