The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St Ives Town 27.2%
Draw 25.5%
Kettering Town 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
24.7%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
24.6%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Ives Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Ives Town's form might have worsened.
Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kettering Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Ives Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kettering Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St Ives Town - Kettering Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Panter E. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 1 - 1, Baker T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 2, Panter E. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Panter E. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Ives won 2.
St Ives is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kettering's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Kettering has had a series of away games.
Kettering will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, St Ives won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, St Ives won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.7:2.3).
Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now
Kettering: 2.32%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Kettering
9
5
3
1
16:6
10
18
Last Results with these Odds
St Ives Town - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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