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Current Win Probability
Kettering Town 49.9%
Draw 24.1%
Worcester City 26%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
24.8%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
23.6%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kettering Town's performance.
Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Worcester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kettering Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Worcester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kettering Town - Worcester City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Richards M. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Lockett L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Panter E. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 3, Lockett L. ⚽,
Preview
Replayed if draw.
Kettering is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Worcester have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Worcester could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Kettering has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Kettering is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kettering has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kettering against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
Watch
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