Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Worcester City		Stratford Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.90	3.10	3.60
	1.92	3.2	3.7
	1.91	3.23	3.42
	1.96	3.5	3.67	Watch
	1.87	3.15	3.35
	1.92	3.28	3.57	Watch
	1.87	3.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)	3.29 ↓ (3.45)	3.57 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester City
47.4%

Draw
27.4%

Stratford Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.5%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Stratford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Worcester City - Stratford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Worcester has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Stratford is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Stratford has had a run of games away from home.

Worcester is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Worcester has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Worcester against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Stratford Town - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 24.88%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.26	Needham Market - Worcester City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Worcester City - Knowle	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
31.08.26	Worcester City - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Leamington - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Worcester City - Stamford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTW
- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.26	Kettering Town - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Alfreton Town - Stratford Town	0:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
31.08.26	Racing Club Warwick - Stratford Town	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Stratford Town - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Real Bedford - Stratford Town	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
31.01.26	Worcester City - Stratford Town	1:0
14.10.25	Stratford Town - Worcester City	1:0

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