Match Info

1. Lig - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Aldemir M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX


	Hatayspor		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	3.4	Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.84	3.46	3.83	Watch
	1.89	3.7	3.94
	1.97	3.74	3.33	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.75
	1.82	3.58	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.61)	3.53 ↓ (3.86)	3.67 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
49%

Draw
26%

Keçiörengücü
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hatayspor's form might have worsened.

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keçiörengücü's recent form is better than expected.

Hatayspor - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bekaj V. (G) 17. Alici K. 15. Yilmaz B. 4. Demir C. 2. Corekci K. 7. Bamgboye F. 55. Hodzic A. 5. Saglam G. 61. Parmak A. 10. Strandberg C. 11. Okoronkwo J.	1. Erdogan M. (G) 60. Keskin B. 14. Akdag I. 6. Develi E. 23. Mexer 4. Celik A. 11. Dere A. 22. Ayan H. 78. Fernandes J. 21. Ezeh F. 7. Roshi O.
Substitutes
9. Aksoy D. 13. Aksoy E. 33. Aydemir E. 95. Buz Y. A. 78. Daduk E. (G) 18. Durmushan U. 8. Massanga Matondo 34. Saricali D. (G) 6. Sarka B. 16. Temel S.	17. Akan M. 9. Akman A. 5. Caliskan O. 36. Karaogul I. 73. Lus S. 80. Ofori J. 19. Osman H. 88. Ozer A. (G) 8. Rroca E. 20. Tasbakir R.
Coaches
Sahin M.	Agcay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Saglam G. ⚽, Okoronkwo J. (A),
18', Corekci K. 🟨,
21', Keskin B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Celik A. ↓, Caliskan O. ↑,
57', Corekci K. ↓, Aksoy E. ↑,
67', Strandberg C. ↓, Durmushan U. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Ezeh F. ⚽, Dere A. (A),
71', 1 - 2, Ezeh F. ⚽, Akdag I. (A),
72', Demir C. ↓, Buz Y. A. ↑,
72', Massanga Matondo ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
79', Ayan H. ↓, Karaogul I. ↑,
79', Roshi O. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
86', Ezeh F. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
89', Erdogan M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Fernandes J. ⚽, Bilgic H. (A),
90+5', Fernandes J. ↓, Akman A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Hatayspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Hodzic A. (Inactive) Rui Pedro (Injury)

There are questionable in Hatayspor: Buz Y. A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
31.05.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Hatayspor	5:2 ✺
26.05.25	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	4:2 ✺
17.05.25	Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor	0:5 ✺
11.05.25	Göztepe - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 LWWTL
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
11.05.25	Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü	4:1 ✺
04.05.25	Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü	2:3 ✺
27.04.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
05.07.20	Hatayspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0
15.12.19	Keçiörengücü - Hatayspor	0:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.01.18	Hatayspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1
10.09.17	Keçiörengücü - Hatayspor	4:1

Upcoming Matches