Match Info

Turkish Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Keçiörengücü		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	4.1
	2.42	3.3	2.45
	1.84	3.84	3.73
	2.42	3.60	2.52	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.6
	1.77	3.89	4.05	Watch
	1.77	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.56)	3.68 ↑ (3.42)	3.46 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
47.7%

Draw
25.4%

Kayserispor
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keçiörengücü's performance.

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keçiörengücü that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayserispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Keçiörengücü - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keçiörengücü: 76.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Keçiörengücü (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Keçiörengücü (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keçiörengücü will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (2 - 0)
112', 1 - 0, Bulut H. ⚽,
117', 2 - 0, Roshi O. ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),

Preview

Keçiörengücü is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Kayserispor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Keçiörengücü - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Adana Demirspor - Keçiörengücü	2:7 ✺
01.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Erciyes 38 - Keçiörengücü	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWWW
- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
29.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kayserispor - Gaziantep	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	4:2 ✺
02.11.25	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Kayserispor - Niğde Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWW

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